ERIC OLIVER
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  • Home
  • People
  • Research
    • Marine Heatwaves
    • MJO Reconstruction
    • East Australian Current
    • Dynamical Downscaling
    • Statistical Downscaling
    • MJO and Sea Level
    • Extreme Currents
    • Extreme SSTs
    • Predictability
  • Teaching
    • Sea Ice
  • Publications
    • CV
    • Articles
    • Presentations
  • Data & Code
    • Code
    • Published datasets
    • Rossby radius
Search

​Publications

2023

Petriello, M A, Zurba M, Schmidt JO, Anthony K, Jacque N, Nochasak C, Winters J, Winters J, Bailey M, Oliver E C J, McCarney P, Bishop B, Bodwitch H, Cadman R, and McLaren M. (2023). The power and precarity of knowledge co-production: A case study of SakKijânginnaniattut Nunatsiavut Sivunitsangit (the Sustainable Nunatsiavut Futures Project). In S Gómez, and V Köpsel (Eds). Transdisciplinary Marine Research: Bridging Science and Society (pp. 127-148). Routledge. doi: 10.4324/9781003311171-9.  pdf

2022

Harrison, Emma J., R. Webb, S. Ziegler, E. C. J. Oliver (2022), Close to Home - Co-producing Research Questions and Solutions to Coastal Erosion In Nunatsiavut, Journal of Ocean Technology, 17(3), pp. 20-29.  pdf

Zhao, Z., N. J. Holbrook and E. C. J. Oliver (2022), An eddy pathway to marine heatwave predictability off eastern Tasmania, Frontiers in Marine Science, 4, 907828. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.907828.  pdf

Lotze, H., S. Mellon, J. Coyne, M. Betts, M. Burchell, K. Fennel, M.A. Dusseault, S.D. Fuller, E. Galbraith, L. Garcia Suarez, L. de Gelleke, N. Golombek, B. Kelly, S. D. Kuehn, E.C.J. Oliver, M. MacKinnon, W. Muraoka, I.T.G. Predham, K. Rutherford, N. Shackell, O. Sherwood, E.C. Sibert and M. Kienast (2022), Long-term ocean and resource dynamics in a hotspot of climate change, FACETS, 7, pp. 1142-1184, doi: 10.1139/facets-2021-0197.  pdf

Bishop, B., E. C. J. Oliver and C. Aporta (2022), Co-producing maps as boundary objects: Bridging Labrador Inuit knowledge and oceanographic research, Journal of Cultural Geography, 39(1), pp. 55-89, doi: 10.1080/08873631.2021.1998992.  pdf

2021

Schlegel, R. W., S. Darmaraki, J. A. Benthuysen., K. Filbee-Dexter and E. C. J. Oliver (2021), Marine cold-spells, Progress in Oceanography, 198, 102684, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2021.102684.  pdf  supplement

Ruehs, S., E. C. J. Oliver, A. Biastoch, C. W. Böning, M. Dowd, K. Getzlaff, T. Martin and P. G. Myers (2021), Changing spatial patterns of deep convection in the subpolar North Atlantic, Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 126(7), e2021JC017245, doi: 10.1029/2021JC017245.  pdf

Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, G. P. Compo, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, E. C. J. Oliver, and M. M. Bell (2021), The Record-Breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(3), E446-E463, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0330.1.  pdf

Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver and K. Chen (2021), Drivers of Marine Heatwaves in the Northwest Atlantic: the role of air-sea interaction during onset and decline, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 627970, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.627970.  pdf

Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2021), Influence of the MJO on daily surface air temperature over Iran, International Journal of Climatology, 41(9), pp. 4562-4573, doi: 10.1002/joc.7086.  pdf

Titus, M. L., Thompson, K. R., Oliver, E. C. J., & Klotzbach, P. J. (2021), Statistical Reconstruction of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD032669, doi: 10.1029/2020JD032669.  pdf

Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, S. Darmaraki, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, R. W. Schlegel and A. Sen Gupta (2021), Marine Heatwaves, Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, pp. 313-342, doi: 10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144.  pdf

2020

Sen Gupta, A., M. Thomsen, J. A. Benthuysen, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P. J. Moore, R. R. Rodrigues, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Taschetto, C. C. Ummenhofer, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale, Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events. Scientific reports, 10(1), 1-15. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3.  pdf  supplement

Holbrook NJ, DC Claar, AJ Hobday, KL McInnes, E. C. J. Oliver, A Sen Gupta, MJ Widlansky and X Zhang: ENSO driven ocean extremes and their ecosystem impacts. Chapter 18 (pp 409-428) In: ENSO in a Changing Climate (Eds. MJ McPhaden, A Santoso and W Cai), American Geophysical Union (AGU) [ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6], doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch18.  pdf

Zhao, Z., N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero and J. M. Vargas-Hernandez, Characteristic atmospheric states during mid-summer droughts over Central America and Mexico, Climate Dynamics. 55, pp. 681-701, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05283-6.  pdf

Holbrook, N. J., A. Sen Gupta, E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday, J. A. Benthuysen, H. A. Scannell, D. A. Smale and T. Wernberg (2020), Keeping Pace with Marine Heatwaves, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1, pp. 482-493, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0068-4.  pdf

Li, Z., N. J. Holbrook, X. Zhang, E. C. J. Oliver and E. A. Cougnon (2020), Remote forcing of Tasman Sea marine heatwaves, Journal of Climate, 33 (12), pp. 5337–5354, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0641.1.  pdf

Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and J.-J. Luo (2020), Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region: The role of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 54, pp. 1571–1589, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05075-7.  pdf

Benthuysen, J. A., E. C. J. Oliver,  K. Chen and T. Wernberg (2020), Editorial: Advances in Understanding Marine
Heatwaves and Their Impacts
, Frontiers in Marine Science. 7, pp. 147. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00147.  pdf

2019

Oliver, E. C. J., M. Burrows, M. Donat, A. Sen Gupta, L. Alexander, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Benthuysen, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, P. Moore, M. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. Smale (2019), Projected marine heatwaves in the 21st century and the potential for ecological impact, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 734, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00734.  pdf  supplement

Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday and A. J. Smit (2019), Detecting marine heatwaves with sub-optimal data, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 737, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00737.  pdf
​

Condie, S. A., E. C. J. Oliver and G. M. Hallegraeff (2019), Environmental drivers of unprecedented Alexandrium catenella dinoflagellate blooms off eastern Tasmania, 2012–2018, Harmful Algae, 87, 101628, doi: 10.1016/j.hal.2019.101628.  pdf

Holbrook, N. J., H. A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, P. J. Moore, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2019), A global assessment of marine heatwaves and their drivers, Nature Communications, 10, 2624, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10206-z.  pdf  supplement

Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Modulation of wet-season rainfall over Iran by the MJO, IOD and ENSO, Journal of Climatology, 39(10), pp. 4029-4040, doi: 10.1002/joc.6057​.  pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. (2019), Mean warming not variability drives marine heatwave trends, Climate Dynamics, 53(3), pp. 1653-1659, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04707-2.  pdf

Smale, D., T. Wernberg, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Thomsen, B. Harvey, S. Straub, M. Burrows, L. Alexander, J. Benthuysen, M. Donat, M. Feng, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, B. Payne and P. Moore (2019), Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services, Nature Climate Change, 9, 306-312, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0412-1.   pdf  supplement

​Klotzbach, P., S. Abhik, H. H. Hendon, M. Bell, C. Lucas, A. Marshall and E. C. J. Oliver (2019), On the emerging relationship between the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial oscillation and the Madden-Julian oscillation, Scientific Reports, 9, 2981, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-40034-6.  pdf  supplement

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., A. King, E. Cougnon, M. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, S. Lewis and F. Pourasghar (2018), The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S105–S110, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1.  pdf  supplement

Zhao, Z., E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero, J. M. Vargas-Hernandez and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Influence of the MJO on Costa Rican
mid-summer drought timing, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 292-301, doi: 10.1002/joc.5806.  pdf

Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2019), A Statistical Seasonal Forecast Model of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 934-952, doi: 10.1002/joc.5853.  pdf

2018

Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2018), Variability and long-term trends in the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123(1), pp. 7366-7381, doi: 10.1029/2018JC013994.  pdf.

Marzloff, M., E. C. J. Oliver, N. Barrett, N. J. Holbrook, L. James, S. J. Wotherspoon and C. Johnson (2018), Differential vulnerability to climate change yields novel deep reef communities, Nature Climate Change, 8, 873-878, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0278-7.  pdf  supp. mat

Hobday, A. J., E. C. J. Oliver, A. S. Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, M. S. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale (2018), Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves, Oceanography, 31(2), doi: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.5205. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J., M. G. Donat, M. T. Burrows, P. J. Moore, D. A. Smale, L. V. Alexander, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, A. Sen Gupta, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. A. Scannell, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2018), Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century, Nature Communications, 9 (1324), doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9. pdf  supp. mat.

Benthuysen, J. A, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Feng and A. Marshall (2018), Extreme marine warming across tropical Australia during austral summer 2015-16, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123 (2), pp. 1301-1326, doi: 10.1002/2017JC013326​. pdf  supp. mat

Oliver, E. C. J., V. Lago, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. D. Ling and C. N. Mundy (2018), Marine heatwaves off eastern Tasmania: Trends, interannual variability, and predictability, Progress in Oceanography, 161, pp. 116-130, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean/2018.02.007. pdf

Dunstan, P., B. R. Moore, J. D. Bell, N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Risbey, S. D. Foster, Q. Hanich, A. J. Hobday, N. Bennett (2018), How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in Pacific small-island developing states, Marine Policy, 88, pp. 295-302, doi: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033. pdf

​Vasile, R., K. Hartmann, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver and S. Tracey (2018), Evaluation of hydrodynamic ocean models as a first step in larval dispersal modelling, Continental Shelf Research, 152, pp. 38-49, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2017.11.001. pdf  supp. mat

Oliver, E. C. J., S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, N. J. Holbrook and N. L. Bindoff (2018), Anthropogenic and natural influences on record 2016 marine heatwaves [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(1), S44–S48, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1​. pdf  supp. mat.  more info

2017

Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler and P. J. Klotzbach (2017), Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, pp. 10754-10761, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075452. pdf   supp. mat   more info

​Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. Kruger and A. J. Smit (2017), Predominant atmospheric and oceanic patterns during coastal marine heatwaves, Frontiers in Marine Science, 4:323, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2017.00323. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, N. L. Bindoff, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, C. N. Mundy and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick (2017), The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave, Nature Communications, 8, 16101, doi: 10.1038/ncomms16101. pdf   supp. mat   more info

Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, T. Wernberg and A. J. Smit (2017), Nearshore and offshore co-occurrence of marine heatwaves and cold-spells, Progress in Oceanography, 151, pp. 189-205, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2017.01.004. pdf

Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2017), A climatological model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone genesis, tracks and landfall, Climate Dynamics, 49 (7), pp. 2585-2603, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3461-4. pdf

2016

Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld and N. J. Holbrook (2016), Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Continental Shelf Research, 130, pp. 14-33, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2016.10.005. pdf   supp. mat.   more info

Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 101-114, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0. pdf

McKinnes, K. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 69-83, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. (2016), Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes, International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3458-3468, doi: 10.1002/joc.4568. pdf   more info

Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper and C. J. Schreck III (2016), The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall, Monthly Weather Review, 144, pp. 1355-1362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1. pdf   more info

Hobday, A. J., L. V. Alexander, S. E. Perkins, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Gupta and T. Wernberg (2016), A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves, Progress in Oceanography, 141, pp. 227-238, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2016), Predictability of the Madden Julian Oscillation index: Seasonality and dependence on MJO phase, Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 159-176, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3. pdf   more info

2015

Oliver, E. C. J., T.J. O'Kane and N. J. Holbrook (2015), Projected changes to Tasman Sea eddies in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, pp. 7150-7165, doi: 10.1002/2015JC010993. pdf   supp. mat.   more info

Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Variations in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation Since the Mid-20th Century, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 4199-4207, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063966. pdf   more info

Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011, Journal of Climate, 28, pp. 204-217, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J.  (2015), Multidecadal variations in the modulation of Alaska wintertime air temperature by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121, pp. 1-11, doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1215-y. pdf   more info

2014

O'Kane, T. J., R. J. Matear, M. A. Chamberlain, E. C. J. Oliver, and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere subtropical oceans, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 6078-6100, doi: 10.1002/2014JC009990. pdf  supp. mat

Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Extending our understanding of South Pacific gyre 'spin-up': Modeling the East Australian Current in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 2788-2805, doi: 10.1002/2013JC009591. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon, M. A. Chamberlain and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Projected Tasman Sea extremes in sea surface temperature through the 21st century, Journal of Climate, 27 (5), pp. 1980-1998, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00259.1. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Estimating extremes from global ocean and climate models: A Bayesian hierarchical model approach, Progress in Oceanography, 122, pp. 77-91, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.004. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), A statistical method for improving continental shelf and nearshore marine climate predictions, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 31, pp. 216-232, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00052.1. pdf   OH14 downscaled SST data

Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), Intraseasonal variability of sea level and circulation in the Gulf of Thailand: The role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 42 (1-2), pp. 401-416, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1595-6. pdf   more info

2012

Oliver, E. C. J., J. Sheng, K. R. Thompson, and J. R. Urrego-Blanco (2012), Extreme Surface and Near-Bottom Currents in the Northwest Atlantic, Natural Hazards, 64 (2), pp. 1425-1446, doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0303-5. pdf   more info

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), A Reconstruction of Madden-Julian Oscillation Variability from 1905 to 2008, Journal of Climate, 25 (6), pp. 1996-2019, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00154.1. pdf   download reconstructed MJO index

2011

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2011), Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean, Journal Geophysical Research, 116, C02019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006596. pdf   more info

2010

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2010), Madden-Julian Oscillation and sea level: Local and remote forcing, Journal Geophysical Research, 115, C01003, doi:10.1029/2009JC005337. pdf   more info

Non-peer reviewed or unpublished

Harris, T., P. Hope, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Smalley, J. Arblaster, N. J. Holbrook, N. Duke, K. Pearce, K. Braganza and N. Bindoff (2017), Climate drivers of the 2015 Gulf of Carpentaria mangrove dieback, National Environmental Science Programme (NESP) Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub Technical Report No. 2, NESP, Australia. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), An evaluation of Australian continental shelf sea surface temperature estimates from Bluelink ReANalysis, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Technical Report, 2014/02. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), Impact of the MJO on the Gulf of Carpentaria during the monsoon, Sixth CAWCR Workshop on Understanding and Prediction of Monsoon Weather and Climate, November 2012 (extended abstract). pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), A Theoretical and Molecular Dynamics Study of Mixing in Microchannels with Obstacles. pdf

Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), Forced Rotational Motion of Fluid in a Cavity: A Molecular Dynamics Study. pdf

Theses

Ph.D. Thesis (2011), Local and Remote Forcing of the Ocean by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its Predictability. pdf

M.Sc. Thesis (2006), Spinning and Mixing: Two Studies of Microfluidic Problems Using Molecular Dynamics Simulations. pdf

B.Sc. Honours Thesis (2004), Optical Bistability and Soliton Switching in an Optical Ring Cavity. pdf
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