Forthcoming
Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, G. P. Compo, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, E. C. J. Oliver, and M. M. Bell (2021), The Record-Breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
2021
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver and K. Chen (2021), Drivers of Marine Heatwaves in the Northwest Atlantic: the role of air-sea interaction during onset and decline, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 627970, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.627970. pdf
Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2021), Influence of the MJO on daily surface air temperature over Iran, International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7086. pdf
Titus, M. L., Thompson, K. R., Oliver, E. C. J., & Klotzbach, P. J. (2021), Statistical Reconstruction of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD032669, doi: 10.1029/2020JD032669. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, S. Darmaraki, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, R. W. Schlegel and A. Sen Gupta (2021), Marine Heatwaves, Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, pp. 313-342, doi: 10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144. pdf
2020
Sen Gupta, A., M. Thomsen, J. A. Benthuysen, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P. J. Moore, R. R. Rodrigues, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Taschetto, C. C. Ummenhofer, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale (2020), Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events. Scientific reports, 10(1), 1-15. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3. pdf supplement
Holbrook NJ, DC Claar, AJ Hobday, KL McInnes, E. C. J. Oliver, A Sen Gupta, MJ Widlansky and X Zhang (2020): ENSO driven ocean extremes and their ecosystem impacts. Chapter 18 (pp 409-428) In: ENSO in a Changing Climate (Eds. MJ McPhaden, A Santoso and W Cai), American Geophysical Union (AGU) [ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6], doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch18. pdf
Zhao, Z., N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero and J. M. Vargas-Hernandez, Characteristic atmospheric states during mid-summer droughts over Central America and Mexico, Climate Dynamics. 55, pp. 681-701, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05283-6. pdf
Holbrook, N. J., A. Sen Gupta, E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday, J. A. Benthuysen, H. A. Scannell, D. A. Smale and T. Wernberg (2020), Keeping Pace with Marine Heatwaves, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1, pp. 482-493, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0068-4. pdf
Li, Z., N. J. Holbrook, X. Zhang, E. C. J. Oliver and E. A. Cougnon (2020), Remote forcing of Tasman Sea marine heatwaves, Journal of Climate, 33 (12), pp. 5337–5354, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0641.1. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and J.-J. Luo (2020), Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region: The role of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 54, pp. 1571–1589, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05075-7. pdf
Benthuysen, J. A., E. C. J. Oliver, K. Chen and T. Wernberg (2020), Editorial: Advances in Understanding Marine
Heatwaves and Their Impacts, Frontiers in Marine Science. 7, pp. 147. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00147. pdf
2019
Oliver, E. C. J., M. Burrows, M. Donat, A. Sen Gupta, L. Alexander, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Benthuysen, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, P. Moore, M. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. Smale (2019), Projected marine heatwaves in the 21st century and the potential for ecological impact, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 734, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00734. pdf supplement
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday and A. J. Smit (2019), Detecting marine heatwaves with sub-optimal data, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 737, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00737. pdf
Condie, S. A., E. C. J. Oliver and G. M. Hallegraeff (2019), Environmental drivers of unprecedented Alexandrium catenella dinoflagellate blooms off eastern Tasmania, 2012–2018, Harmful Algae, doi: 10.1016/j.hal.2019.101628. pdf
Holbrook, N. J., H. A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, P. J. Moore, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2019), A global assessment of marine heatwaves and their drivers, Nature Communications, 10, 2624, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10206-z. pdf supplement
Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Modulation of wet-season rainfall over Iran by the MJO, IOD and ENSO, Journal of Climatology, 39(10), pp. 4029-4040, doi: 10.1002/joc.6057. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2019), Mean warming not variability drives marine heatwave trends, Climate Dynamics, 53(3), pp. 1653-1659, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04707-2. pdf
Smale, D., T. Wernberg, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Thomsen, B. Harvey, S. Straub, M. Burrows, L. Alexander, J. Benthuysen, M. Donat, M. Feng, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, B. Payne and P. Moore (2019), Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0412-1. pdf supplement
Klotzbach, P., S. Abhik, H. H. Hendon, M. Bell, C. Lucas, A. Marshall and E. C. J. Oliver (2019), On the emerging relationship between the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial oscillation and the Madden-Julian oscillation, Scientific Reports, 9, 2981, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-40034-6. pdf supplement
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., A. King, E. Cougnon, M. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, S. Lewis and F. Pourasghar (2018), The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S105–S110, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1. pdf supplement
Zhao, Z., E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero, J. M. Vargas-Hernandez and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Influence of the MJO on Costa Rican
mid-summer drought timing, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 292-301, doi: 10.1002/joc.5806. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2019), A Statistical Seasonal Forecast Model of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 934-952, doi: 10.1002/joc.5853. pdf
2018
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2018), Variability and long-term trends in the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123(1), pp. 7366-7381, doi: 10.1029/2018JC013994. pdf.
Marzloff, M., E. C. J. Oliver, N. Barrett, N. J. Holbrook, L. James, S. J. Wotherspoon and C. Johnson (2018), Differential vulnerability to climate change yields novel deep reef communities, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0278-7. pdf supp. mat
Hobday, A. J., E. C. J. Oliver, A. S. Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, M. S. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale (2018), Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves, Oceanography, 31(2), doi: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.5205. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., M. G. Donat, M. T. Burrows, P. J. Moore, D. A. Smale, L. V. Alexander, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, A. Sen Gupta, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. A. Scannell, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2018), Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century, Nature Communications, 9 (1324), doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9. pdf supp. mat.
Benthuysen, J. A, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Feng and A. Marshall (2018), Extreme marine warming across tropical Australia during austral summer 2015-16, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123 (2), pp. 1301-1326, doi: 10.1002/2017JC013326. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J., V. Lago, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. D. Ling and C. N. Mundy (2018), Marine heatwaves off eastern Tasmania: Trends, interannual variability, and predictability, Progress in Oceanography, 161, pp. 116-130, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean/2018.02.007. pdf
Dunstan, P., B. R. Moore, J. D. Bell, N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Risbey, S. D. Foster, Q. Hanich, A. J. Hobday, N. Bennett (2018), How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in Pacific small-island developing states, Marine Policy, 88, pp. 295-302, doi: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033. pdf
Vasile, R., K. Hartmann, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver and S. Tracey (2018), Evaluation of hydrodynamic ocean models as a first step in larval dispersal modelling, Continental Shelf Research, 152, pp. 38-49, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2017.11.001. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J., S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, N. J. Holbrook and N. L. Bindoff (2018), Anthropogenic and natural influences on record 2016 marine heatwaves [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(1), S44–S48, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1. pdf supp. mat. more info
2017
Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler and P. J. Klotzbach (2017), Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, pp. 10754-10761, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075452. pdf supp. mat more info
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. Kruger and A. J. Smit (2017), Predominant atmospheric and oceanic patterns during coastal marine heatwaves, Frontiers in Marine Science, 4:323, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2017.00323. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, N. L. Bindoff, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, C. N. Mundy and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick (2017), The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave, Nature Communications, 8, 16101, doi: 10.1038/ncomms16101. pdf supp. mat more info
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, T. Wernberg and A. J. Smit (2017), Nearshore and offshore co-occurrence of marine heatwaves and cold-spells, Progress in Oceanography, 151, pp. 189-205, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2017.01.004. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2017), A climatological model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone genesis, tracks and landfall, Climate Dynamics, 49 (7), pp. 2585-2603, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3461-4. pdf
2016
Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld and N. J. Holbrook (2016), Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Continental Shelf Research, 130, pp. 14-33, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2016.10.005. pdf supp. mat. more info
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 101-114, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0. pdf
McKinnes, K. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 69-83, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2016), Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes, International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3458-3468, doi: 10.1002/joc.4568. pdf more info
Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper and C. J. Schreck III (2016), The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall, Monthly Weather Review, 144, pp. 1355-1362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1. pdf more info
Hobday, A. J., L. V. Alexander, S. E. Perkins, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Gupta and T. Wernberg (2016), A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves, Progress in Oceanography, 141, pp. 227-238, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2016), Predictability of the Madden Julian Oscillation index: Seasonality and dependence on MJO phase, Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 159-176, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3. pdf more info
2015
Oliver, E. C. J., T.J. O'Kane and N. J. Holbrook (2015), Projected changes to Tasman Sea eddies in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, pp. 7150-7165, doi: 10.1002/2015JC010993. pdf supp. mat. more info
Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Variations in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation Since the Mid-20th Century, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 4199-4207, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063966. pdf more info
Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011, Journal of Climate, 28, pp. 204-217, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. (2015), Multidecadal variations in the modulation of Alaska wintertime air temperature by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121, pp. 1-11, doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1215-y. pdf more info
2014
O'Kane, T. J., R. J. Matear, M. A. Chamberlain, E. C. J. Oliver, and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere subtropical oceans, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 6078-6100, doi: 10.1002/2014JC009990. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Extending our understanding of South Pacific gyre 'spin-up': Modeling the East Australian Current in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 2788-2805, doi: 10.1002/2013JC009591. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon, M. A. Chamberlain and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Projected Tasman Sea extremes in sea surface temperature through the 21st century, Journal of Climate, 27 (5), pp. 1980-1998, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00259.1. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Estimating extremes from global ocean and climate models: A Bayesian hierarchical model approach, Progress in Oceanography, 122, pp. 77-91, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.004. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), A statistical method for improving continental shelf and nearshore marine climate predictions, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 31, pp. 216-232, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00052.1. pdf OH14 downscaled SST data
Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), Intraseasonal variability of sea level and circulation in the Gulf of Thailand: The role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 42 (1-2), pp. 401-416, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1595-6. pdf more info
2012
Oliver, E. C. J., J. Sheng, K. R. Thompson, and J. R. Urrego-Blanco (2012), Extreme Surface and Near-Bottom Currents in the Northwest Atlantic, Natural Hazards, 64 (2), pp. 1425-1446, doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0303-5. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), A Reconstruction of Madden-Julian Oscillation Variability from 1905 to 2008, Journal of Climate, 25 (6), pp. 1996-2019, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00154.1. pdf download reconstructed MJO index
2011
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2011), Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean, Journal Geophysical Research, 116, C02019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006596. pdf more info
2010
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2010), Madden-Julian Oscillation and sea level: Local and remote forcing, Journal Geophysical Research, 115, C01003, doi:10.1029/2009JC005337. pdf more info
Non-peer reviewed or unpublished
Harris, T., P. Hope, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Smalley, J. Arblaster, N. J. Holbrook, N. Duke, K. Pearce, K. Braganza and N. Bindoff (2017), Climate drivers of the 2015 Gulf of Carpentaria mangrove dieback, National Environmental Science Programme (NESP) Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub Technical Report No. 2, NESP, Australia. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), An evaluation of Australian continental shelf sea surface temperature estimates from Bluelink ReANalysis, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Technical Report, 2014/02. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), Impact of the MJO on the Gulf of Carpentaria during the monsoon, Sixth CAWCR Workshop on Understanding and Prediction of Monsoon Weather and Climate, November 2012 (extended abstract). pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), A Theoretical and Molecular Dynamics Study of Mixing in Microchannels with Obstacles. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), Forced Rotational Motion of Fluid in a Cavity: A Molecular Dynamics Study. pdf
Theses
Ph.D. Thesis (2011), Local and Remote Forcing of the Ocean by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its Predictability. pdf
M.Sc. Thesis (2006), Spinning and Mixing: Two Studies of Microfluidic Problems Using Molecular Dynamics Simulations. pdf
B.Sc. Honours Thesis (2004), Optical Bistability and Soliton Switching in an Optical Ring Cavity. pdf
Klotzbach, P. J., C. J. Schreck III, G. P. Compo, S. G. Bowen, E. J. Gibney, E. C. J. Oliver, and M. M. Bell (2021), The Record-Breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
2021
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver and K. Chen (2021), Drivers of Marine Heatwaves in the Northwest Atlantic: the role of air-sea interaction during onset and decline, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 627970, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.627970. pdf
Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2021), Influence of the MJO on daily surface air temperature over Iran, International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7086. pdf
Titus, M. L., Thompson, K. R., Oliver, E. C. J., & Klotzbach, P. J. (2021), Statistical Reconstruction of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Variability in the North Atlantic Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD032669, doi: 10.1029/2020JD032669. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, S. Darmaraki, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, R. W. Schlegel and A. Sen Gupta (2021), Marine Heatwaves, Annual Review of Marine Science, 13, pp. 313-342, doi: 10.1146/annurev-marine-032720-095144. pdf
2020
Sen Gupta, A., M. Thomsen, J. A. Benthuysen, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, P. J. Moore, R. R. Rodrigues, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Taschetto, C. C. Ummenhofer, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale (2020), Drivers and impacts of the most extreme marine heatwaves events. Scientific reports, 10(1), 1-15. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-75445-3. pdf supplement
Holbrook NJ, DC Claar, AJ Hobday, KL McInnes, E. C. J. Oliver, A Sen Gupta, MJ Widlansky and X Zhang (2020): ENSO driven ocean extremes and their ecosystem impacts. Chapter 18 (pp 409-428) In: ENSO in a Changing Climate (Eds. MJ McPhaden, A Santoso and W Cai), American Geophysical Union (AGU) [ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6], doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch18. pdf
Zhao, Z., N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero and J. M. Vargas-Hernandez, Characteristic atmospheric states during mid-summer droughts over Central America and Mexico, Climate Dynamics. 55, pp. 681-701, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05283-6. pdf
Holbrook, N. J., A. Sen Gupta, E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday, J. A. Benthuysen, H. A. Scannell, D. A. Smale and T. Wernberg (2020), Keeping Pace with Marine Heatwaves, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1, pp. 482-493, doi: 10.1038/s43017-020-0068-4. pdf
Li, Z., N. J. Holbrook, X. Zhang, E. C. J. Oliver and E. A. Cougnon (2020), Remote forcing of Tasman Sea marine heatwaves, Journal of Climate, 33 (12), pp. 5337–5354, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0641.1. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and J.-J. Luo (2020), Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean region: The role of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 54, pp. 1571–1589, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05075-7. pdf
Benthuysen, J. A., E. C. J. Oliver, K. Chen and T. Wernberg (2020), Editorial: Advances in Understanding Marine
Heatwaves and Their Impacts, Frontiers in Marine Science. 7, pp. 147. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00147. pdf
2019
Oliver, E. C. J., M. Burrows, M. Donat, A. Sen Gupta, L. Alexander, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, J. Benthuysen, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, P. Moore, M. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. Smale (2019), Projected marine heatwaves in the 21st century and the potential for ecological impact, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 734, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00734. pdf supplement
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, A. J. Hobday and A. J. Smit (2019), Detecting marine heatwaves with sub-optimal data, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, pp. 737, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00737. pdf
Condie, S. A., E. C. J. Oliver and G. M. Hallegraeff (2019), Environmental drivers of unprecedented Alexandrium catenella dinoflagellate blooms off eastern Tasmania, 2012–2018, Harmful Algae, doi: 10.1016/j.hal.2019.101628. pdf
Holbrook, N. J., H. A. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, E. C. J. Oliver, L. V. Alexander, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, A. J. Hobday, P. J. Moore, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2019), A global assessment of marine heatwaves and their drivers, Nature Communications, 10, 2624, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10206-z. pdf supplement
Pourasghar, F., E. C. J. Oliver and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Modulation of wet-season rainfall over Iran by the MJO, IOD and ENSO, Journal of Climatology, 39(10), pp. 4029-4040, doi: 10.1002/joc.6057. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2019), Mean warming not variability drives marine heatwave trends, Climate Dynamics, 53(3), pp. 1653-1659, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04707-2. pdf
Smale, D., T. Wernberg, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Thomsen, B. Harvey, S. Straub, M. Burrows, L. Alexander, J. Benthuysen, M. Donat, M. Feng, A. Hobday, N. Holbrook, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. Scannell, A. Sen Gupta, B. Payne and P. Moore (2019), Marine heatwaves threaten global biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0412-1. pdf supplement
Klotzbach, P., S. Abhik, H. H. Hendon, M. Bell, C. Lucas, A. Marshall and E. C. J. Oliver (2019), On the emerging relationship between the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial oscillation and the Madden-Julian oscillation, Scientific Reports, 9, 2981, doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-40034-6. pdf supplement
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., A. King, E. Cougnon, M. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, S. Lewis and F. Pourasghar (2018), The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2017 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S105–S110, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1. pdf supplement
Zhao, Z., E. C. J. Oliver, D. Ballestero, J. M. Vargas-Hernandez and N. J. Holbrook (2019), Influence of the MJO on Costa Rican
mid-summer drought timing, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 292-301, doi: 10.1002/joc.5806. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2019), A Statistical Seasonal Forecast Model of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones using the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 934-952, doi: 10.1002/joc.5853. pdf
2018
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2018), Variability and long-term trends in the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123(1), pp. 7366-7381, doi: 10.1029/2018JC013994. pdf.
Marzloff, M., E. C. J. Oliver, N. Barrett, N. J. Holbrook, L. James, S. J. Wotherspoon and C. Johnson (2018), Differential vulnerability to climate change yields novel deep reef communities, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0278-7. pdf supp. mat
Hobday, A. J., E. C. J. Oliver, A. S. Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, M. S. Thomsen, T. Wernberg and D. A. Smale (2018), Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves, Oceanography, 31(2), doi: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.5205. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., M. G. Donat, M. T. Burrows, P. J. Moore, D. A. Smale, L. V. Alexander, J. A. Benthuysen, M. Feng, A. Sen Gupta, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, H. A. Scannell, S. C. Straub and T. Wernberg (2018), Longer and more frequent marine heatwaves over the past century, Nature Communications, 9 (1324), doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-03732-9. pdf supp. mat.
Benthuysen, J. A, E. C. J. Oliver, M. Feng and A. Marshall (2018), Extreme marine warming across tropical Australia during austral summer 2015-16, Journal of Geophysical Research, 123 (2), pp. 1301-1326, doi: 10.1002/2017JC013326. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J., V. Lago, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, S. D. Ling and C. N. Mundy (2018), Marine heatwaves off eastern Tasmania: Trends, interannual variability, and predictability, Progress in Oceanography, 161, pp. 116-130, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean/2018.02.007. pdf
Dunstan, P., B. R. Moore, J. D. Bell, N. J. Holbrook, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Risbey, S. D. Foster, Q. Hanich, A. J. Hobday, N. Bennett (2018), How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in Pacific small-island developing states, Marine Policy, 88, pp. 295-302, doi: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033. pdf
Vasile, R., K. Hartmann, A. J. Hobday, E. C. J. Oliver and S. Tracey (2018), Evaluation of hydrodynamic ocean models as a first step in larval dispersal modelling, Continental Shelf Research, 152, pp. 38-49, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2017.11.001. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J., S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, N. J. Holbrook and N. L. Bindoff (2018), Anthropogenic and natural influences on record 2016 marine heatwaves [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(1), S44–S48, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0093.1. pdf supp. mat. more info
2017
Ghelani, R. P. S., E. C. J. Oliver, N. J. Holbrook, M. C. Wheeler and P. J. Klotzbach (2017), Joint modulation of intraseasonal rainfall in tropical Australia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, pp. 10754-10761, doi: 10.1002/2017GL075452. pdf supp. mat more info
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. Kruger and A. J. Smit (2017), Predominant atmospheric and oceanic patterns during coastal marine heatwaves, Frontiers in Marine Science, 4:323, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2017.00323. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J., J. A. Benthuysen, N. L. Bindoff, A. J. Hobday, N. J. Holbrook, C. N. Mundy and S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick (2017), The unprecedented 2015/16 Tasman Sea marine heatwave, Nature Communications, 8, 16101, doi: 10.1038/ncomms16101. pdf supp. mat more info
Schlegel, R. W., E. C. J. Oliver, T. Wernberg and A. J. Smit (2017), Nearshore and offshore co-occurrence of marine heatwaves and cold-spells, Progress in Oceanography, 151, pp. 189-205, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2017.01.004. pdf
Wahiduzzaman, M., E. C. J. Oliver, S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2017), A climatological model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone genesis, tracks and landfall, Climate Dynamics, 49 (7), pp. 2585-2603, doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3461-4. pdf
2016
Oliver, E. C. J., M. Herzfeld and N. J. Holbrook (2016), Modelling the shelf circulation off eastern Tasmania, Continental Shelf Research, 130, pp. 14-33, doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2016.10.005. pdf supp. mat. more info
Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 101-114, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1650-0. pdf
McKinnes, K. et al. (incl. E. C. J. Oliver) (2016), Natural hazards in Australia: sea level and coastal extremes, Climatic Change, 139 (1), pp. 69-83, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1647-8. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2016), Blind use of reanalysis data: Apparent trends in Madden-Julian Oscillation activity driven by observational changes, International Journal of Climatology, 36, pp. 3458-3468, doi: 10.1002/joc.4568. pdf more info
Klotzbach, P. J., E. C. J. Oliver, R. Leeper and C. J. Schreck III (2016), The relationship between the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and southeastern New England snowfall, Monthly Weather Review, 144, pp. 1355-1362, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0434.1. pdf more info
Hobday, A. J., L. V. Alexander, S. E. Perkins, D. A. Smale, S. C. Straub, E. C. J. Oliver, J. Benthuysen, M. T. Burrows, M. G. Donat, M. Feng, N. J. Holbrook, P. J. Moore, H. A. Scannell, A. S. Gupta and T. Wernberg (2016), A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves, Progress in Oceanography, 141, pp. 227-238, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2016), Predictability of the Madden Julian Oscillation index: Seasonality and dependence on MJO phase, Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 159-176, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2576-3. pdf more info
2015
Oliver, E. C. J., T.J. O'Kane and N. J. Holbrook (2015), Projected changes to Tasman Sea eddies in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, pp. 7150-7165, doi: 10.1002/2015JC010993. pdf supp. mat. more info
Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Variations in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Madden-Julian Oscillation Since the Mid-20th Century, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, pp. 4199-4207, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063966. pdf more info
Klotzbach, P. K. and E. C. J. Oliver (2015), Modulation of Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) from 1905-2011, Journal of Climate, 28, pp. 204-217, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00509.1. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. (2015), Multidecadal variations in the modulation of Alaska wintertime air temperature by the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121, pp. 1-11, doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1215-y. pdf more info
2014
O'Kane, T. J., R. J. Matear, M. A. Chamberlain, E. C. J. Oliver, and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere subtropical oceans, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 6078-6100, doi: 10.1002/2014JC009990. pdf supp. mat
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Extending our understanding of South Pacific gyre 'spin-up': Modeling the East Australian Current in a future climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, pp. 2788-2805, doi: 10.1002/2013JC009591. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon, M. A. Chamberlain and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Projected Tasman Sea extremes in sea surface temperature through the 21st century, Journal of Climate, 27 (5), pp. 1980-1998, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00259.1. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J., S. J. Wotherspoon and N. J. Holbrook (2014), Estimating extremes from global ocean and climate models: A Bayesian hierarchical model approach, Progress in Oceanography, 122, pp. 77-91, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.004. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and N. J. Holbrook (2014), A statistical method for improving continental shelf and nearshore marine climate predictions, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 31, pp. 216-232, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00052.1. pdf OH14 downscaled SST data
Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), Intraseasonal variability of sea level and circulation in the Gulf of Thailand: The role of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Climate Dynamics, 42 (1-2), pp. 401-416, doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1595-6. pdf more info
2012
Oliver, E. C. J., J. Sheng, K. R. Thompson, and J. R. Urrego-Blanco (2012), Extreme Surface and Near-Bottom Currents in the Northwest Atlantic, Natural Hazards, 64 (2), pp. 1425-1446, doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0303-5. pdf more info
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), A Reconstruction of Madden-Julian Oscillation Variability from 1905 to 2008, Journal of Climate, 25 (6), pp. 1996-2019, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00154.1. pdf download reconstructed MJO index
2011
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2011), Sea level and circulation variability of the Gulf of Carpentaria: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the adjacent deep ocean, Journal Geophysical Research, 116, C02019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006596. pdf more info
2010
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2010), Madden-Julian Oscillation and sea level: Local and remote forcing, Journal Geophysical Research, 115, C01003, doi:10.1029/2009JC005337. pdf more info
Non-peer reviewed or unpublished
Harris, T., P. Hope, E. C. J. Oliver, R. Smalley, J. Arblaster, N. J. Holbrook, N. Duke, K. Pearce, K. Braganza and N. Bindoff (2017), Climate drivers of the 2015 Gulf of Carpentaria mangrove dieback, National Environmental Science Programme (NESP) Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub Technical Report No. 2, NESP, Australia. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. (2014), An evaluation of Australian continental shelf sea surface temperature estimates from Bluelink ReANalysis, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS) Technical Report, 2014/02. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and K. R. Thompson (2012), Impact of the MJO on the Gulf of Carpentaria during the monsoon, Sixth CAWCR Workshop on Understanding and Prediction of Monsoon Weather and Climate, November 2012 (extended abstract). pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), A Theoretical and Molecular Dynamics Study of Mixing in Microchannels with Obstacles. pdf
Oliver, E. C. J. and G. W. Slater (2006), Forced Rotational Motion of Fluid in a Cavity: A Molecular Dynamics Study. pdf
Theses
Ph.D. Thesis (2011), Local and Remote Forcing of the Ocean by the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its Predictability. pdf
M.Sc. Thesis (2006), Spinning and Mixing: Two Studies of Microfluidic Problems Using Molecular Dynamics Simulations. pdf
B.Sc. Honours Thesis (2004), Optical Bistability and Soliton Switching in an Optical Ring Cavity. pdf
